Denmark's Group D climb must start with New Zealand

Soccer Betting Lines

09/14/2007 - Wuhan, China (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After dropping its opener to China on a late goal, Denmark faces an uphill battle to advance out of Group D.

Denmark is ranked sixth in the world - the highest in the group - but already trails China and Brazil by three points. The Danes can take the "first step against New Zealand" on Saturday, coach Kenneth Heiner-Moller told FIFA.com.

A step that has to result in a win with Brazil awaiting in its final game of the group stage.

"The result aside, we played a great game against China and our confidence is still intact," Heiner-Moller said.

Denmark erased a two-goal deficit in the second half against the Chinese as Dot Eggers Nielsen and Cathrine Paaske Sorensen scored. China escaped with all three points thanks to a goal in the 88th minute.

Denmark should be able to put the disappointing loss behind it Saturday. New Zealand was completely dominated in a 5-0 loss to Brazil on Wednesday.

New Zealand rarely had possession of the ball in the first half, and rarely had more than one touch at a time in the second half when Brazil scored four of its goals.

Denmark proved its offense was solid in the loss to China, and that was with its top striker on the bench for the first 75 minutes of the match.

All-time leading scorer Merete Pedersen is nursing an injury, and her status for the match is questionable, but she may just get more rest and hope to be fit for the crucial Brazil match on Wednesday.

"We know that Denmark are a very well-organized side who move the ball around well and work hard up front. They will be tough opponents for sure, but we'll (be) doing everything we can to get something out of this game," New Zealand coach John Herdman told FIFA.com.

New Zealand fell to 0-4 all time in the World Cup with its loss to Brazil. The team was making its first appearance since the inaugural event in 1991.

But it's a game New Zealand has to forget. The team created almost no offense, and looked overmatched. If New Zealand is going to shed the label of the worst team in the tournament - and have any hopes of advancing - it needs a result against Denmark.

"To stay in the tournament we simply have to win and that means we'll be more attack-minded than in our first game," Herdman said.

Denmark and New Zealand have played one other time in the World Cup, a 3-0 win by the Danes in 1991.

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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined

Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.

"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."

Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)

According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.

As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).

Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.

Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at

17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.

*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007

New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers

By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.

"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."

While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."

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